Dubai set to deliver nearly 58,600 homes in Q4 as annual total nears 99,000

Dubai's residential market is heading for a delivery peak at the end of the year. According to a report by real estate data provider REIDIN, developers in Dubai are targeting delivery of approximately 58,581 new residential units between October and December 2026, well above the roughly 40,489 units delivered in the first nine months of the year. If all announced deliveries proceed on schedule, the total for 2026 could reach approximately 99,070 units.

By area, Business Bay is expected to record the highest number of fourth-quarter deliveries, at about 6,050 units, followed by Jumeirah Village Circle with around 5,419. Arabian Gulf Properties said the concentration of new supply in areas with strong residential and investment activity reflects continued demand for communities offering accessibility, services and integrated infrastructure.

A maturing market: quality over quantity

Badar Rashid AlBlooshi, chairman of Arabian Gulf Properties, said the surge in deliveries is a natural development for a city experiencing continued population and investment growth, and that the market is entering a new stage: as competition increases, purchasing decisions will increasingly be shaped by a project's quality, location, services and long-term value rather than price movements alone. He added that developers' track records, their ability to meet announced timelines and the quality of completed projects will become fundamental to buyer trust.

AlBlooshi cautioned that the market's ability to absorb new supply will vary by location and individual project, and that the type of product, the target buyer and the actual level of demand matter as much as the headline number of units.