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Hong Kong Finance

Hong Kong September Inflation Hits 1.9%, a Three-Month High, Led by Fuel-Related Costs

· N GLOBE

The Census and Statistics Department announced on October 22 that overall consumer prices rose 1.9% year-on-year in September, up from 1.7% in August and above market expectations; underlying inflation reached 2.1%.

Why it matters

This is the highest reading in three months and the second straight monthly acceleration. Price pressure is concentrated in fuel-related items such as electricity, gas, water and transport — hard-to-substitute expenses whose impact compounds month after month.

The numbers

The Census and Statistics Department announced on October 22 that overall consumer prices rose 1.9% year-on-year in September, up from 1.7% in August and above the market consensus of 1.8%. Netting out the effects of the government's one-off relief measures, underlying inflation was 2.1%, up from 1.9% in August. On a monthly basis, prices rose 0.3%, following a 0.1% increase in August.

By component, electricity, gas and water surged 12.9% year-on-year (11.5% in August), transport rose 5.2% (3.9%), miscellaneous services climbed 5.3% (4.7%), and housing edged up 0.2% (0.1%). Durable goods rose 1.1%, and clothing and footwear increased 0.3%. On the softer side, basic food inflation eased to 0.5%, while alcoholic drinks and tobacco fell 0.4%.

Official assessment

A government spokesman said that while price increases were faster for fuel-related items, price pressures on other components were largely contained, keeping overall inflation moderate. Looking ahead, persistently elevated international oil prices amid Middle East tensions will continue to feed through to fuel-related components, but overall inflation should stay moderate as other pressures remain contained.

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