Montréal in focus: Québec votes Monday as final Léger poll puts PQ at 29%, Liberals ahead in Montréal

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Québec's provincial election takes place Monday, October 5. The final Léger poll for Le Journal and TVA (October 3, 892 respondents) puts the Parti Québécois at 29%, the Québec Liberals at 25%, the Québec Conservatives at 20%, the governing Coalition Avenir Québec at 14% and Québec solidaire at 11%. Regional patterns differ sharply: the Conservatives lead with 37% in the Québec City metro area, the Liberals lead with 34% in the Montréal metro area ahead of the PQ at 26%, and the PQ leads at 33% elsewhere in the province.

Party leaders made their final pitches Saturday: Liberal leader Charles Milliard, in Lachute and Trois-Rivières, called the sovereignty project "archaic compared with the economic reality," arguing that "faced with the world's giants, there is strength in unity"; Plamondon urged voters to give the PQ a majority government, saying "we're electing a government on Monday, not an opposition"; Conservative leader Éric Duhaime raised his sights from at least 12 seats to 20% of the provincewide vote for parliamentary-group recognition. Roughly three-quarters of eligible Quebecers have yet to vote, leaving the outcome uncertain.

Plamondon has put the referendum promise in writing: a PQ government would consult Quebecers on independence during its first term, but would not hold the vote before January 20, 2029, when Donald Trump's presidential term ends. He told The Canadian Press the referendum would cost at least C$130 million.