N環球 
Quebec Votes Monday: Parti Québécois Leads Final Polls at 30%, Poised to End Eight Years of CAQ Rule
Quebecers elect a new government on Oct. 5; late polls put the pro-independence PQ at 30%, with seat projections just over the 64-seat majority line. The PQ leader pledges an independence consultation in his first term but no referendum before January 2029.
Why it matters
Quebecers vote Monday, Oct. 5, to elect a new government: 127 seats are at stake, 64 for a majority. The governing Coalition Avenir Québec (CAQ), in power for eight years, has fallen to fourth in the polls, while the pro-independence Parti Québécois (PQ) leads the final surveys and could take power.
Full report
A Léger survey for Le Journal and TVA, conducted Sept. 25–27 among 1,001 eligible voters, put the PQ at 30 per cent, the Liberals at 26, the Conservatives at 18 and the CAQ at 16. Among francophone voters the PQ stood at 37 per cent. A Pallas Data poll taken the same weekend also had the PQ at 30.
Seat projections are even kinder to the PQ: on Sept. 28 the aggregator Qc125 projected 67 seats for the party — three more than the 64 needed for a majority — with the Liberals at 37 and the CAQ at none.
PQ leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has promised in writing that a PQ government would consult Quebecers on independence during its first term, but would not hold a referendum before Jan. 20, 2029, when Donald Trump's presidential term ends. He has priced the referendum at at least C$130 million. A Synopsis poll for La Presse found only 25 per cent would vote yes to sovereignty today, with 63 per cent opposed.
💬 Comments
No comments yet. Be the first!